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From Bucharest to Amsterdam to St. Petersburg to Copenhagen, Euro 2020 continues to traipse all over the continent as the European Championships push on into their third week. While Italy and Wales advanced out of Group A rather easily yesterday, the fates of Groups B and C are a bit murkier, so let's take a quick look at the advancement scenarios before we delve into the specifics.
Group B Advancement Scenarios (per UEFA):
- Belgium are through and will top the group with a draw.
- Russia will be through with a win, or a draw if Finland fail to beat Belgium.
- Finland will be through with a win, or a draw if Russia lose to Denmark.
- Denmark can finish second if they beat Russia and Finland lose against Belgium, but it will all depend on the goals scored in these two matches.
But it gets even more complicated...
If Belgium, Russia and Finland all finish on 6 points (ahead of Denmark on 0), they will be split on goal difference from matches between the three teams though all will advance at least as a best third-placed team.
In that scenario, if Finland beat Belgium by one or two goals, and Russia win, the order will be: 1 Belgium, 2 Finland, 3 Russia.
If Finland beat Belgium by between three and five goals, and Russia win, the order will be 1 Finland, 2 Belgium, 3 Russia.
If Finland beat Belgium by six goals or more, and Russia win, the order will be 1 Finland, 2 Russia, 3 Belgium.
If Denmark, Russia and Finland all finish on 3 points (behind Belgium on 9), they will be split on goal difference from matches between the three teams. The second-placed team behind Belgium would be through and the third-placed team could still advance depending on the final record of third-placed teams in other groups.
In that scenario, if Denmark beat Russia 1-0, and Finland lose, the teams would be equal on all three-way scenarios and would be split on overall goal difference then overall goals scored, then number of wins (which in this case would be equal), then disciplinary points, then European Qualifiers rankings (in which Russia are 12th, Denmark 15th and Finland 20th). Disciplinary points then European Qualifiers rankings would be used specifically if Denmark won 1-0 and Finland lost 2-1 (Denmark and Finland would be equal on overall goal difference, goals scored and number of wins), or if Denmark won 1-0 and Finland lost 3-0 (Russia and Finland would be equal on overall goal difference, goals scored and number of wins).
If Denmark beat Russia by a one-goal margin other than 1-0, and Finland lose, the order will be 2 Denmark, 3 Russia, 4 Finland.
If Denmark beat Russia by two goals or more, and Finland lose, the order will be 2 Denmark, 3 Finland, 4 Russia.
Yikes, what about Group C? Fortunately, it's a lot simpler!
Group C Advancement Scenarios (per UEFA)
- Netherlands are through as group winners.
- Ukraine will finish second with a win or draw.
- Austria must beat Ukraine to finish second.
- North Macedonia cannot finish in the top three.
Onto the matches!
Ukraine vs. Austria
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Time: 18:00 CET/12:00 EDT | Location:National Arena, Bucharest
How to Watch
United States: ESPN, Sirius XM FC, PrendeTV
United Kingdom: Talksport 2 Radio UK, The ITV Hub, ITV 4
Canada: TVA Sports, TSN App, TSN.ca, TSN2
North Macedonia vs. Netherlands
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Time: 18:00 CET/12:00 EDT | Location: Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
How to Watch
United States: SiriusXM FC, ESPN2, PrendeTV, TUDN Radio
United Kingdom: BBC Radio 5 Live, TalkSport Radio UK, The ITV Hub, STV Scotland, ITV 1 UK, UTV
Canada: TSN1, TSN3, TSN4, TSN5, TSN App, TSN.ca, TVA Sports 2
Finland vs. Belgium
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Time: 21:00 CET/3:00 EDT | Location: St. Petersburg Stadium, St. Petersburg
How to Watch
United States: SiriusXM FC, ESPN2, PrendeTV
United Kingdom: BBC One, BBC Sport Web, TalkSport Radio UK, BBC iPlayer
Canada: TSN1, TVA Sports 2, TSN3, TSN5, TSN App, TSN4, TSN.ca
Russia vs. Denmark
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Time: 21:00 CET/3:00 EDT | Location: Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
How to Watch
United States: PrendeTV, TUDN Radio, SiriusXM FC, ESPN
United Kingdom: BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Two, BBC iPlayer, Talksport 2 Radio UK, BBC Sport Web
Canada: TVA Sports, TSN App, TSN2, TSN.ca